این سایت در حال حاضر پشتیبانی نمی شود و امکان دارد داده های نشریات بروز نباشند
Iranian Journal of Public Health، جلد ۵۰، شماره ۱۱، صفحات ۲۲۲۹-۲۲۳۷
عنوان فارسی
چکیده فارسی مقاله
کلیدواژه‌های فارسی مقاله
عنوان انگلیسی Prediction of the Epidemiological Situation of Tuberculosis in Slovakia by 2040- Data Update
چکیده انگلیسی مقاله Background: Despite the available diagnostics and treatment, tuberculosis (TB) is a serious infectious disease currently occurring. Even some high-income countries in the world do not fully control it at this time. The reason for this situation is the lack of elimination programs to address the situation. The aim of the update of the prediction data was to create a presumption of TB development in Slovakia by 2040. Methods: We used the time series prediction method with exponential equalization. The basis for the calculation were historical data on the incidence of TB from 1960 to 2018 in Slovakia (data for the last 58 yr). This time series has a clearly declining level. In view of this trend, we have set a threshold, whether and when the incidence in the future will fall below 5.0 patients per 100,000 inhabitants. Results: In case of a favorable development, the limit of our incidence drop below 5.0 cases per 100 000 inhabitants in 2022, when the incidence will be 4.91 per 100 000 inhabitants. In 2040, the predicted incidence of TB should be 1.78 per 100 000 inhabitants. A gradual decline may also be related to a decrease in the population of the Slovak Republic. Conclusion: Slovakia belongs to those countries of the world where TB is under control. Increased surveillance of high-risk communities through community interventions and countries' readiness for global migration can help to influence factors that may aggravate the epidemiological situation of TB.
کلیدواژه‌های انگلیسی مقاله
نویسندگان مقاله | Lukas Kober
Department of Nursing, Faculty of Health, Catholic University, Ruzomberok, Slovakia


| Ivan Solovic
1. Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health, Catholic University, Ruzomberok, Slovakia 2. National Institute of Tuberculosis, Pulmonary Diseases and Thoracic Surgery, Vysne Hagy, Slovakia


| Vladimir Littva
Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health, Catholic University, Ruzomberok, Slovakia


| Vladimir Siska
1. Faculty of Medicine, Ostrava University, Ostrava, Czechia 2. Emergency Operation Center Slovakia, Regional Operation Center, Presov, Slovakia
نشانی اینترنتی https://ijph.tums.ac.ir/index.php/ijph/article/view/19217
فایل مقاله فایلی برای مقاله ذخیره نشده است
کد مقاله (doi)
زبان مقاله منتشر شده
موضوعات مقاله منتشر شده
نوع مقاله منتشر شده
برگشت به: صفحه اول پایگاه   |   نسخه مرتبط   |   نشریه مرتبط   |   فهرست نشریات