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Health Education and Health Promotion، جلد ۸، شماره ۳، صفحات ۱۰۷-۱۱۳
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عنوان انگلیسی A Computational Intelligence Approach to Detect Future Trends of COVID-19 in France by Analyzing Chinese Data
چکیده انگلیسی مقاله Aims: Due to the terrible effects of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on health systems and the global economy, the necessity to study future trends of the virus outbreaks around the world is seriously felt. Since geographical mobility is a risk factor of the disease, it has spread to most of the countries recently. It, therefore, necessitates to design a decision support model to 1) identify the spread pattern of coronavirus and, 2) provide reliable information for the detection of future trends of the virus outbreaks. Materials & Methods: The present study adopts a computational intelligence approach to detect the possible trends in the spread of 2019-nCoV in China for a one-month period. Then, a validated model for detecting future trends in the spread of the virus in France is proposed. It uses ANN (Artificial Neural Network) and a combination of ANN and GA (Genetic Algorithm), PSO (Particle Swarm Optimization), and ICA (Imperialist Competitive Algorithm) as predictive models. Findings: The models work on the basis of data released from the past and the present days from WHO (World Health Organization). By comparing four proposed models, ANN and GA-ANN achieve a high degree of accuracy in terms of performance indicators. Conclusion: The models proposed in the present study can be used as decision support tools for managing and controlling of 2019-nCoV outbreaks.  
کلیدواژه‌های انگلیسی مقاله Coronavirus, Pandemic, Artificial Neural Network, Genetic Algorithm
نویسندگان مقاله | Z. Sazvar
Department of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran


| M. Tanhaeean
Department of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran


| S.S. Aria
Department of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran


| A. Akbari
Department of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran


| S.F. Ghaderi
Department of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran


| S.H. Iranmanesh
Department of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
نشانی اینترنتی http://hehp.modares.ac.ir/browse.php?a_code=A-10-54895-1&slc_lang=en&sid=5
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