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JCR 2016
جستجوی مقالات
سه شنبه 25 آذر 1404
مدیریت فناوری اطلاعات
، جلد ۱۳، شماره Special Issue: Role of ICT in Advancing Business and Management، صفحات ۱۱۵-۱۲۷
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عنوان انگلیسی
New Statistical and Econometric Approaches to the Modeling of Budget Policy on the Example of Tax Revenues and Information Management
چکیده انگلیسی مقاله
The article presents the results of studies on the development of new statistical and econometric approaches to modeling budget policy. The obtained results are applied on the example of tax revenue modeling. Accounting for various factors, including through the use of mathematical methods, will allow you to plan reforms with a scientific position. In particular, this is especially true in connection with the introduction of multi-year budget planning. To identify the main threats to the tax base, the phenomenon of “tax passes” wasused, which is based on an assessment of the effectiveness of a tax credit. The main participants in the formation of the “gross gap” in the value added tax revenues in Ukraine are shown. A correlation and regression analysis of the natural logarithms of the gross domestic product and tax revenues is carried out. This allowed us to determine the elasticity of tax revenues and GDP in Ukraine. A change in GDP directly affects the amount of tax payments to the budget, and the rate of change of indicators is proportional and changes insignificantly. These results allow us to strategically model the reform of discretionary tax policy mechanisms based on a quantitative assessment of tax gaps and the elasticity of tax payments. The authors were able to substantiate some proposals for reforming the budget policy regarding tax revenues.
کلیدواژههای انگلیسی مقاله
model,Budget modeling,tax system,Value Added Tax,Econometrics,Statistics,tax gap,Information technology management
نویسندگان مقاله
Sergii Zakharin |
Research Institute of Economic Development, Kyiv, Ukraine.
Anastasia Duka |
Chernivil National University of Technology, Kyiv, Ukraine.
Olena Parubets |
Chernivil National University of Technology, Kyiv, Ukraine.
Maksym Zabashtansky |
Chernivil National University of Technology, Kyiv, Ukraine.
Natalia Ryzhikova |
Kharkiv Petro Vasylenko National Technical University of Agriculture, Kharkiv, Ukraine.
نشانی اینترنتی
https://jitm.ut.ac.ir/article_80741_653271e8df6fa8a9a2898fce58dd0ace.pdf
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