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Medical Journal of Islamic Republic of Iran، جلد ۳۵، شماره ۱، صفحات ۸۲۹-۸۳۵

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عنوان انگلیسی Epidemiology incidence and geographical distribution of leptospirosis using GIS and its incidence prediction in Iran in 2021
چکیده انگلیسی مقاله Background: Leptospirosis is known as a public health problem in developing and developed countries. The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence and geographical distribution of leptospirosis using the Geographic Information System (GIS) and to predict its incidence in Iran in 2021.    Methods: This was a descriptive analytical study. Information on leptospirosis was obtained from the Center for Communicable Diseases Control during 2009-2015. In the next step, The ArcGIS 9.3 was used to prepare geographic maps of the disease incidence and frequency. Therefore, using the Raster Calculator tool, the disease prediction map was drawn.    Results: The results showed that the highest incidence of leptospirosis during 2009-2015 was observed in Gilan, Mazandaran, and Golestan provinces, respectively. The incidence of the disease had an increasing trend from 2013 to 2015. Based on the results of the modeling in Iran, the provinces of Gilan, Mazandaran, and Golestan, with 72.18%, 8.54%, and 4.95% of their area, respectively, have the largest areas at a high-risk for leptospirosis in the coming years.    Conclusion: The prevalence of leptospirosis is affected by geographical and climatic conditions of every region; thus, the incidence of the disease is higher in the provinces located at the Caspian coastal side and in some regions in Semnan province. Hence, if health authorities pay more attention to developing health plans to prevent the disease, the risk of disease in these areas will be reduced in the future.
کلیدواژه‌های انگلیسی مقاله Incidence, Leptospirosis, GIS, Iran

نویسندگان مقاله | Ghobad Moradi
Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran


| Hossein Masoumi Asl
Center for Communicable Diseases Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran


| Nasrin Bahmani
Center for Communicable Diseases Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran


| Ahmad Vahabi
Zoonoses Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran


| Samira Shirzadi
Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran


| Zahra Zare
Zoonosis Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran


| Elham Goodarzi
Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran


| Hasan Naemi
Cellular and Molecular Research Center, Sabzevar University of Medical Sciences, Sabzevar, Iran


| Zaher Khazaei
Department of Public Health, School of Medicine, Dezful University of Medical Sciences, Dezful, Iran


| Asrin Karimi
Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran



نشانی اینترنتی http://mjiri.iums.ac.ir/browse.php?a_code=A-10-5715-4&slc_lang=en&sid=1
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کد مقاله (doi)
زبان مقاله منتشر شده en
موضوعات مقاله منتشر شده Epidemiology
نوع مقاله منتشر شده Original Research
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