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Medical Journal of Islamic Republic of Iran، جلد ۳۵، شماره ۱، صفحات ۸۲۲-۸۲۸
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عنوان انگلیسی Epidemiology incidence and geographical distribution of Pertussis using GIS and its incidence prediction in Iran in 2021
چکیده انگلیسی مقاله Background: Pertussis is a respiratory tract infection caused by Bordetella pertussis, which causes inflammation of the lungs and respiratory tract. The purpose of this study was to investigate the incidence and geographical distribution of pertussis using the geographic information system (GIS) and to predict its incidence in Iran in 2021.    Methods: This was a descriptive analytical study. Information on pertussis was obtained from the Center for Communicable Diseases Control during 2009-2015. In the next step, the ArcGIS 9.3 was used to prepare geographic maps of the disease incidence and frequency. Therefore, the disease prediction map was drawn. using the Raster Calculator tool.    Results: The results showed that the highest incidence of pertussis during 2009-2015 was in Zanjan, Qom, Mazandaran, and Qazvin provinces. The incidence of pertussis in Iran increased from 0.74 in 2009 to 1.53 in 2015. Based on the modeling results for Iran, Qom, Mazandaran, Tehran, Qazvin, and Zanjan provinces, with 76.76%, 73.69%, 66.32%, 30.94% and 24.18% of their areas (Km2), are at high risk for pertussis in the coming years, respectively.    Conclusion: The incidence of the disease has been increasing in recent years, indicating the emergence of the disease in Iran. The modeling maps show that the Iranian provinces of Qom, Tehran, Zanjan, and Qazvin are at risk of the disease incidence in the coming years, indicating the need for planning, appropriate interventions and more precise implementation of the vaccination program against the disease.
کلیدواژه‌های انگلیسی مقاله Incidence, Prediction, Pertussis, GIS, Iran
نویسندگان مقاله | Seyed Mohsen Zahraei
Center for Communicable Diseases Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran


| Parvin Mohamadi
Department of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj, Iran


| Ghobad Moradi
Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran


| Samira Shirzadi
Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran


| Fatemeh Azimian
Iranian Center for Communicable Disease Control, Ministry of Health & Medical Education, Tehran, Iran


| Zaher Khazaei
Department of Public Health, School of Medicine, Dezful University of Medical Sciences, Dezful, Iran


| Hasan Naemi
Cellular and Molecular Research Center, Sabzevar University of Medical Sciences, Sabzevar, Iran


| Elham Goodarzi
Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Lorestan University of Medical Sciences, Khorramabad, Iran
نشانی اینترنتی http://mjiri.iums.ac.ir/browse.php?a_code=A-10-5715-3&slc_lang=en&sid=1
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کد مقاله (doi)
زبان مقاله منتشر شده en
موضوعات مقاله منتشر شده Epidemiology
نوع مقاله منتشر شده Original Research
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