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Iranian Journal of Parasitology، جلد ۱۷، شماره ۳، صفحات ۳۰۶-۳۱۶
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عنوان انگلیسی Risk Mapping and Spatial Modeling of Human Cystic Echinococcosis in Iran from 2009 to 2018: A GIS-Based Survey
چکیده انگلیسی مقاله Background: Cystic echinococcosis (CE) is one of the most important parasitic infections in subgroup seven common neglected diseases of humans and animals. It is in the list of 18 neglected tropical diseases of the WHO. We aimed to analyze the situation of the disease in Iran using Geographical Information System (GIS) and satellite data analysis. Methods: The data obtained from the Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran and other related centers from 2009 to 2018 were analyzed using GIS. Then, the spatial distribution maps of the disease were generated, and the hot spots of the disease in Iran were determined using spatial analysis of ArcGIS10.5 software. Geographically weighted regression (GWR) analysis in ArcGIS10.5 was used to correlate the variables affecting the disease including temperature, relative humidity, normalized different vegetation index (NDVI) and incidence of hydatidosis. Data analysis was performed by Linear regression analysis and SPSS 21 software using descriptive statistics and chi-square test. Results: Zanjan, Khorasan Razavi, North Khorasan, Chaharmahal Bakhtiari, Hamedan, Semnan, and Ardabil provinces were the hot spots of CE. The results of geographical weighted regression analysis showed that in Khorasan Razavi, North Khorasan, Chaharmahal Bakhtiari, Hamedan, Semnan, Ardabil, Zanjan, Qazvin, and Ilam provinces, the highest correlation between temperature, humidity, vegetation density and the incidence of hydatidosis was observed (P< 0.001). Conclusion: The use of maps could provide reliable estimates of at-risk populations. Climatic factors of temperature, humidity, NDVI had a greater impact on the probability of hydatidosis. These factors can be an indicator used to predict the presence of disease. Environmental and climatic factors were associated with echinococcosis.
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نویسندگان مقاله | Fatemeh Parandin
Department of Medical Parasitology and Mycology, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran


| Ahmad Ali Hanafi-Bojd
Department of Medical Entomology and Vector Control, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran


| Fatemeh Heydarpour
Medical Biology Research Center, Health Technology Institute, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences, Kermanshah, Iran


| Mehdi Mohebali
1. Department of Medical Parasitology and Mycology, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran 2. Research Center for Endemic Parasites of Iran, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran


| Mohammad Zeinali
Center of Communicable Diseases Control, Ministry of Health & Medical Education, Tehran, Iran


| Ali Akbari Sari
Department of Health Management and Economics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran


| Mehdi Rezaei
Department of Forestry and Landscape Architecture, Konkuk University, Seoul, South Korea


| Mohammad Bagher Rokni
1. Department of Medical Parasitology and Mycology, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran 2. Research Center for Endemic Parasites of Iran, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
نشانی اینترنتی https://ijpa.tums.ac.ir/index.php/ijpa/article/view/3725
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