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Iranian Journal of Public Health، جلد ۴۱، شماره ۱، صفحات ۶۶-۷۲
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عنوان انگلیسی Prevention of Disease Complications through Diagnostic Models: How to Tackle the Problem of Missing Data?
چکیده انگلیسی مقاله Background: Diagnostic models are frequently used to assess the role of risk factors on disease complications, and therefore to avoid them. Missing data is an issue that challenges the model making. The aim of this study was to develop a diagnostic model to predict death in HIV/ AIDS patients when missing data exist. Methods: HIV patients (n=1460) referred to Voluntary Consoling and Testing Center (VCT) of Shiraz southern Iran during 2004-2009 were recruited. Univariate association between variables and death was assessed. Only variables which had univariate P < 0.25 were selected to be offered to the Multifactorial models. First, patients with missing data on candidate variables were deleted (C-C model). Then, applying Multivariable Imputation via Chained Equations (MICE), missing data were imputed. Logistic regression was fitted to C-C and imputed data sets (MICE model). Models were compared in terms of number of variables retained in the final model, width of confidence intervals, and discrimination ability. Result: About 22% of data were lost in C-C model. Number of variables retained in the C-C and MICE models was 2 and 6 respectively. Confidence Intervals (C.I.) corresponding to C-C model was wider than that of MICE. The MICE model showed greater discrimination ability than C-C model (70% versus 64%). Conclusion: The C-C analysis resulted to loss of power and wide CI's. Once missing data were imputed, more variables reached significance level and C.I.'s were narrower. Therefore, we do recommend the application of the imputation method for handling missing data.
کلیدواژه‌های انگلیسی مقاله HIV/AIDS, Missing Data, Imputation, MICE
نویسندگان مقاله mr بانشی | mr baneshi
reserch center for modeling in health, kerman university of medical sciences, kerman, iran

سازمان اصلی تایید شده: دانشگاه علوم پزشکی کرمان (Kerman university of medical sciences)

h فرامرزی | h faramarzi
shiraz hiv aids research center, shiraz university of medical sciences, shiraz

سازمان اصلی تایید شده: دانشگاه علوم پزشکی شیراز (Shiraz university of medical sciences)

m مرزبان | m marzban
research center for traditional medicine and history of medicine, shiraz university of medical scien

سازمان اصلی تایید شده: دانشگاه شیراز (Shiraz university)

نشانی اینترنتی http://ijph.tums.ac.ir/index.php/ijph/article/view/2635
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