این سایت در حال حاضر پشتیبانی نمی شود و امکان دارد داده های نشریات بروز نباشند
Medical Journal of Islamic Republic of Iran، جلد ۳۱، شماره ۱، صفحات ۴۹۲-۴۹۹
عنوان فارسی
چکیده فارسی مقاله
کلیدواژه‌های فارسی مقاله
عنوان انگلیسی Foresight in health sciences using CLA method
چکیده انگلیسی مقاله Background: Development in health is not possible without progress of science. Rapid changes in the various areas make the future health system more complex and risky. Therefore, foresight of health sciences is very important.    Methods: This futures studies was conducted in 4 steps; also, literature and documents review, statistics and information review, focus group discussions, working group, and scenario planning were used. Cause level analysis was used for data analysis and syntactic as main frameworks.    Results: The findings in legal health sciences documents revealed that the value system was not defined clearly and coherently and that logical linkage among myths, discourse, and social structural layers was ambiguous. In trend analysis, 24 trends were recognized; however, political and economic streams were strong, independent, and uncertain factors which created 4 main scenarios although the social and environmental factors divided them into 16 subscenario tunnels. Postmodern discourse in probability scenarios will be dominant and science will be understood as tools for generation of wealth. University structure will be decentralized and transformed into similar R&D to join the health industry, and our quantitative growth (articles, disciplines, and students) in health sciences will decrease.       Conclusion: If the current trends (probability scenarios) continue, we will move to an undesirable situation. The main challenge in this regard is the lack of a unique and dominant discourse in health sciences based on the Islamic Republic of Iran doctrine. Therefore, in this study, shifting the paradigm by a new approach and discipline in the health sciences is suggested.
کلیدواژه‌های انگلیسی مقاله
نویسندگان مقاله علی اکبر حقدوست | aliakbar haghdoost
modeling in health research center, institute for futures studies in health, kerman university of medical sciences, kerman, iran.

سازمان اصلی تایید شده: دانشگاه علوم پزشکی کرمان (Kerman university of medical sciences)

سمیرا سادات پورحسینی | samira sadat pourhosseini
health services management research center, institute for futures studies in health, kerman university of medical sciences, kerman, iran.

سازمان اصلی تایید شده: دانشگاه علوم پزشکی کرمان (Kerman university of medical sciences)

مژگان امامی | mozhgan emami
health services management research center, institute for futures studies in health, kerman university of medical sciences, kerman, iran.

سازمان اصلی تایید شده: دانشگاه علوم پزشکی کرمان (Kerman university of medical sciences)

رضا دهنویه | reza dehnavieh
medical informatics research centre, institute for futures studies in health, kerman university of medical sciences, kerman, iran.

سازمان اصلی تایید شده: دانشگاه علوم پزشکی کرمان (Kerman university of medical sciences)

تهمینه برفه | tahmineh barfeh
health services management research center, institute for futures studies in health, kerman university of medical sciences, kerman, iran.

سازمان اصلی تایید شده: دانشگاه علوم پزشکی کرمان (Kerman university of medical sciences)

محمد حسین مهرالحسنی | mohammad hossein mehrolhassani
health services management research center, institute for futures studies in health, kerman university of medical sciences, kerman, iran.

سازمان اصلی تایید شده: دانشگاه علوم پزشکی کرمان (Kerman university of medical sciences)

نشانی اینترنتی http://mjiri.iums.ac.ir/browse.php?a_code=A-10-1-1116&slc_lang=en&sid=en
فایل مقاله دریافت فایل مقاله
کد مقاله (doi)
زبان مقاله منتشر شده en
موضوعات مقاله منتشر شده Health Management and Economics
نوع مقاله منتشر شده Original Research
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